Funding the future: Insights into VC investment sentiment and trends (只提供英文版本)

An optimistic outlook for venture capital investments

The survey indicated an optimistic outlook for venture capital (VC) investments. About 75% of VC investors expect an increase in activity over the next year, with only 9% anticipating a decrease. This positive sentiment is largely driven by the expectations that central banks such as the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank will continue to cut rates, which should support growth in the venture community, in their view.

AI investment: A key focus

AI investment is attracting attention from investors. AI and healthcare are at the forefront of investors' minds, with 88% and 58% of the total responses in the survey expecting AI and healthcare to see the most investment in private markets, respectively. The Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, especially Southeast Asia, South Korea, and India, is experiencing a surge in AI applications and investments.

Top 5 industries to see most investment in private markets

While the United States has the largest number of unicorns in the world, China and India are close followers. This indicates a robust startup ecosystem in these regions, with talent and entrepreneurs rising to the challenge of developing innovative AI solutions.

The survey also touched on the subject of business exits – noting that 40% of investors who responded preferred buyouts for exits, compared with 14% who favoured initial public offerings (IPOs). This preference is driven by current market conditions and the desire for more predictable returns. In addition, 30% of respondents anticipated that the AI sector would have the most exits in the next 12 months, ranking it highest on this metric.

Challenges in AI investment

One of the key challenges in AI investment is the high cost of training large AI models. For instance, training the GPT-4 model cost around USD100 million, while it is estimated that the GPT-5 model, currently in training, will cost USD2.5 billion. Despite these costs, investors are willing to wait longer to monetise their investments, with more investors now working with a monetisation timeline of longer than two years. This patience reflects a growing confidence in the long-term potential of AI technologies.

Cautious optimism

In conclusion, VC investors remain cautiously optimistic. The global shift to a dovish stance among central banks is expected to support continued recovery and growth in venture activities. AI and healthcare are poised to lead this growth, with increasing deal volumes and investment opportunities in these sectors.

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